nature�察�and to prefer for an hour�察�to the normal and respectable ditch´water�察�
a bottle of champagne or even a carouse on fire´water�察 �let the
consequences be what they may。
How else shall we explain such a phenomenon as those old crusades�拭�
Were they undertaken for any purpose�察�mercial or other�拭�Certainly not
for lightening an overburdened population。 Nay�察 �is not the history of
your own Mormons�察�and their exodus into the far West�察�one of the most
startling instances which the world has seen for several centuries�察�of the
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unexpected and incalculable forces which lie hid in man�拭 �Believe me�察�
man's passions�察�heated to igniting point�察�rather than his prudence cooled
down to freezing point�察 �are the normal causes of all great human
movement。 And a truer law of social science than any that political
economists are wont to lay down�察�is that old DOV' E LA DONNA�拭�of the
Italian judge�察 �who used to ask�察 �as a preliminary to every case�察 �civil or
criminal�察�which was brought before him�察�Dov' e la donna�拭 �Where is the
lady�拭─�certain�察�like a wise old gentleman�察�that a woman was most probably
at the bottom of the matter。
Strangeness�拭 �Romance�拭 �Did any of you ever readif you have not
you should readArchbishop Whately's ;Historic Doubts about the
Emperor Napoleon the First;�拭 �Therein the learned and witty Archbishop
proved�察�as early as 1819�察�by fair use of the criticism of Mr。 Hume and the
Sceptic School�察�that the whole history of the great Napoleon ought to be
treated by wise men as a myth and a romance�察 �that there is little or no
evidence of his having existed at all�察 �and that the story of his strange
successes and strange defeats was probably invented by our Government
in order to pander to the vanity of the English nation。
I will say this�察 �which Archbishop Whately�察 �in a late edition�察�
foreshadows�察 �wittily enoughthat if one or two thousand years hence�察�
when the history of the late Emperor Napoleon the Third�察�his rise and fall�察�
shall e to be subjected to critical analysis by future Philistine
historians of New Zealand or Australia�察 �it will be proved by them to be
utterly mythical�察�incredible�察�monstrousand that all the more�察�the more the
actual facts remain to puzzle their unimaginative brains。 What will they
make two thousand years hence�察�of the landing at Boulogne with the tame
eagle�拭 �Will not that�察�and stranger facts still�察�but just as true�察�be relegated
to the region of myth�察 �with the dream of Astyages�察 �and the young and
princely herdsman playing at king over his fellow´slaves�拭�
But enough of this。 To me these bits of romance often seem the
truest�察�as well as the most important portions of history。
When old Herodotus tells me how�察�King Astyages having guarded the
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frontier�察�Harpagus sent a hunter to young Cyrus with a fresh´killed hare�察�
telling him to open it in private�察 �and how�察 �sewn up in it was the letter�察�
telling him that the time to rebel was e�察�I am inclined to say�察�That must
be true。 It is so beneath the dignity of history�察�so quaint and unexpected�察�
that it is all the more likely NOT to have been invented。
So with that other storyHow young Cyrus�察 �giving out that his
grandfather had made him general of the Persians�察 �summoned them all�察�
each man with a sickle in his hand�察�into a prairie full of thorns�察�and bade
them clear it in one day�察�and how when they�察�like loyal men�察�had finished�察�
he bade them bathe�察�and next day he took them into a great meadow and
feasted them with corn and wine�察�and all that his father's farm would yield�察�
and asked them which day they liked best�察 �and�察 �when they answered as
was to be expected�察�how he opened his parable and told them�察 �Choose�察�
then�察�to work for the Persians like slaves�察�or to be free with me。;
Such a tale sounds to me true。 It has the very savour of the parables
of the Old Testament�察�as have�察�surely�察�the dreams of the old Sultan�察�with
which the tale begins。 Do they not put us in mind of the dreams of
Nebuchadnezzar�察�in the Book of Daniel�拭�
Such stories are actually so beautiful that they are very likely to be true。
Understand me�察�I only say likely�察�the ditch´water view of history is not all
wrong。 Its advocates are right in saying great historic changes are not
produced simply by one great person�察 �by one remarkable event。 They
have been preparing�察 �perhaps for centuries。 They are the result of
numberless forces�察 �acting according to laws�察 �which might have been
foreseen�察 �and will be foreseen�察 �when the science of History is more
perfectly understood。
For instance�察�Cyrus could not have conquered the Median Empire at a
single blow�察�if first that empire had not been utterly rotten�察�and next�察�if he
and his handful of Persians had not been tempered and sharpened�察�by long
hardihood�察�to the finest cutting edge。
Yes�察�there were all the materials for the catastrophethe cannon�察�the
powder�察�the shot。 But to say that the Persians must have conquered the
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Medes�察�even if Cyrus had never lived�察�is to say�察�as too many philosophers
seem to me to say�察�that�察�given cannon�察�powder�察�and shot�察�it will fire itself
off some day if we only leave it alone long enough。
It may be so。 But our usual experience of Nature and Fact is�察 �that
spontaneous bustion is a rare and exceptional phenomenon�察�that if a
cannon is to be fired�察 �someone must arise and pull the trigger。 And I
believe that in Society and Politics�察�when a great event is ready to be done�察�
someone must e and do itdo it�察�perhaps�察�half unwittingly�察�by some
single rash actlike that first fatal shot fired by an electric spark。
But to return to Cyrus and his Persians。
I know not whether the ;Cyropaedia; is much read in your schools and
universities。 But it is on
弌戻幣�紺� 指概 [Enter] 囚 卦指慕朕��梓 ○ 囚 卦指貧匯匈�� 梓 ★ 囚 序秘和匯匈。
壘匯和
耶紗慕禰紗秘慕尺